We have been advocating for some time radical changes in our way of
thinking, so that knowledge, creativity and innovation would become
the most important ingredients of our socio-economic system. We have
a lot of work to do in this regard, and I will never stop to point
out the current misconception about reality by some of our top
statisticians.
After exposing the fraudulent research on no-fault insurance by
Dr. David Cassidy, we have today another statistician, Doug Elliot,
who rather than listening to the stories of people, deciphers both
statistical numbers and the public mood for his living, and for our
misfortune. Elliot says that he uses "the most up-to-date statistics
from the 15 most relevant indicators" to assess the province's
performance.
Most of these up-to-date statistics refer to how these economic
indicators have been changing in the last year, and Elliot states
that "13 of them seem to indicate that things in Saskatchewan are
pretty good right now." However, Elliot adds that we have here in
Saskatchewan a "permanent gloom-and-doom mentality... even when 87
per cent of the economic indicators are favourable."
Further, Elliot laments that the public is not focusing on the
positives especially now when the government is on course for the
largest tax cut in the province's history. What Elliot is saying is
that reality is not reflected in the mood of people.
In our supposed knowledge economy Elliot's economic indicators
fail to include the most important long term sociological
statistics, that is education of our population and demographic
shifts. Also, Elliot's complain that we are not focusing on the
positives reminds me of Dr. Cassidy's fallacy that no-fault
insurance is a better system since injured people focus on getting
healthier rather than on suing for damages. And as the largest tax
cut is concerned, I have no trust that this overall tax cut will
ever occur as long as the present economic direction for the few and
privileged is maintained.
The reality portrayed by Elliot's economic indicators are not
validated in the realities of our people, and people's realities are
more relevant than the reality portrayed by statistical numbers.
References
Reality not reflected in mood, by Murray Mandryk, July 21, 2000,
The Leader-Post, Regina, Saskatchewan
Dr. Cassidy's study on no-fault insurance: supporting another
shock absorber, by Mario deSantis, April 21, 2000
Articles by Mario deSantis published by Ensign
Editor's note: Doug Elliot publishes his newsletter
regularly and it is frequently quoted by government and other
agencies siting the findings of Saskatchewan Trends Monitor.
However, the actual documents themselves appear not to be available
online as it is likely that the newsletter is a commercial product
sold by subscription. In your efforts with a search engine you will
find a large number of references but all just comments upon the
actual material. Information is power.
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