It is a fact that we have a conventional productive capacity far in
excess of what we can sell. And it is another fact that we have a
disconnect between the satisfaction of needs and the satisfaction of
wants, and it is another fact that money moves around at the speed
of light to look for the highest return on 'investments.' And it is
another fact that while President George Bush Jr. states that Free
Trade creates jobs for American workers we know that his foreign
policies based on geopolitics will maintain the balance of power all
over the world, a balance of power where the United States is the
sole super power. And it is another fact that a Free Market based on
making money with money has led us to an oligopolistic gambling
casino where the statistical experts make decisions and predict our
future.
Some time ago I ventured to say that the Free Market is supported
by the military power of the United States and that therefore we
make peace by waging wars. And it is natural to understand that as
long as we allocate more resources in the arms industry so we create
more chances to wage wars around the world. Just think that the war
in Afghanistan could cost in the order of some US$ 750-million per
month excluding the social costs of killed civilians, of destroyed
properties, of broken families, of a population in disarray. And
just think that the rebuilding of Afghanistan could be in the order
of US$15-billion over a ten year period. We are spending more money
in destroying people and properties than we are spending in
rebuilding these same countries!
We must change the way we are thinking, and above all we must
learn how to become citizens and construct our own realities.
Whenever I was teaching in Weyburn, Saskatchewan, in the late
80's, I had college students who expected me to transfer my
knowledge to them by dictating notes! Later, I realized that this
problem of copycatting and of transferring knowledge rather than
being intelligent and learning is not only widespread in our society
but it is institutionalized. Just think how inventive we have become
whenever we make money through technological innovations protected
by copyrights for some 20 years. Timothy Shire, publisher of
Ensign, has just recently described how our
educational system has been hijacked by the Chambers of Commerce.
This morning I breath some fresh air as I happened to visit the web
site 'Institute for Local Self-Reliance' and I read that we need new
rules that honor a sense of place and prize rootedness, continuity
and stability as well as innovation and enterprise.
Let me say some thing about the investment myth. We don't have
productive investments when we invest in the stock market. Whenever
in the 90's we invested in the stock market we created a Big Bubble
as the share price to earnings ratios has gone from a traditional
ratio of 15/1 to the current 30/1. Whenever we invest into the stock
market we don't create productive investments. Productive
investments are those providing a sense of social cohesiveness and
continual social growth for families, for local communities, and for
the country.
And let me say something else about dollarization, that is the
replacement of local currency by the American dollar. We in Canada
have been talking about dollarization for sometime now, and this has
become a hot topic among economists, bankers, businesses and
politicians. All of these Big Brains talk about the pros and cons of
dollarization for Canada and they have no clue of what is happening
to people around the world, or at least they don't want to know
about it.
The dollarization for Canada is not the same as having the EURO
in Europe where countries got together and decided to go for a
common new currency and common economic policies. The dollarization
for Canada would mean to exchange our Canadian dollar for the
American dollar and be subjected to the economic policies of the
United States. There is nothing wrong with the dollarization of
Canada, but what is important is to realize what it means to all
Canadians, and not only to our experts, to our bankers, to our
businesses, to our politicians.
Our National Post columnist Terence Corcoran is upset that some
days ago our Canadian dollar spit out at US 61.84 cents, a record
low. And this Corcorn blames the Bank of Canada for going to sleep
and let the dollar slide, and he blames Paul Martin, Finance
Minister, for not knowing the fundamentals of our economy. And I
wonder about what this rhetorical asset of a Concorn knows about
fundamentals. Concorn says that "the dollar will stay low and is
likely to go lower until Canada becomes a strong-currency country
and the government adopts strong-dollar policies." Concorn is
all wet as he equates a strong dollar with a strong country, while
he doesn't know what makes a country strong. A country is strong
when its people are strong, when its people are happy, when its
people are at peace within themselves and with their neighbours. And
what does Concorn know about the American dollar? Is the American
dollar strong? And why is the American dollar strong?
While everybody is worrying about the slide of our Canadian
dollar, we have what appear to be good news. Argentina is devaluing
the peso and getting away from the American dollar. We have to
remember that the peso was pegged to the American dollar and this
was one of the causes of Argentina's economic problems. The
delinking between the American dollar and the Argentina's economic
needs has been highlighted by the intelligent move of common people
to go back to bartering.
Everybody has been hailing the good years of the 90's without
realizing that these good years were the seeds for our current
economic downturn. In November 2001, economist Robert Solomon stated
"What would have seemed very strange to international
economists 25 years ago is that the U.S. dollar rose in value
while the U.S. balance of payments deficit increased markedly...
This raises the question, given the large current-account
deficit, whether an effort should be made to lower the dollar's
exchange rate."
And in January 1999 financier George Soros was saying
"Today, American consumers ... are spending more than
they are earning ... this is a wonderful world but it cannot
last for ever."
And economist Dean Baker is maintaining that the best economic
stimulus for the United States and the world economy would be for
the United States to devalue the dollar. Dean Baker says that
"the strong dollar is leading to large and unsustainable
trade deficits. At some point, it will have to fall. This will
lead to a substantial reduction in the trade deficit, since a
lower dollar makes U.S. goods more competitive, both
domestically and internationally... Since current account
deficits of 4.5 percent of GDP (the present level) are not
sustainable, it is certain that the dollar will fall, but just
as with the stock market bubble, the actual timing of the
decline is unpredictable. At this point, a sharp decline in the
dollar may be the economy's best prospect for renewed growth, in
the absence of government stimulus."
But the Bush's United States is a super power, and rather than
devalue its dollar it is sustaining the currency by waging tax cuts
at home, by waging wars abroad, and by preaching dollarization
policies for other countries.
Wake up Mr. Concoran!
References:
War may be costing U.S. $500M-$1B per month, by Calvin Woodward,
Associated Press Writer, 11-12-2001 http://www.southend.wayne.edu/days/11122001/news/war/war.html
Rebuilding Afghanistan: The cost, 21 January, 2002, http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/world/south_asia/newsid_1761000/1761731.stm
Institute for Local Self-Reliance http://www.newrules.org
STOCK RETURNS FOR DUMMIES, by Dean Baker, December 7, 2001
http://www.cepr.net/stock%20market/stock_returns_for_dummies.htm
Canada's dollar sleeps alone, Terence Corcoran, January 18, 2002
National Post http://www.nationalpost.com/home/story.html?f=/stories/20020118/1167186.html
It's smarter to barter for filling the larder, Argentines
learning, by Heather Scoffield, January 21, 2002 Page A1, The
Globe and Mail
Europe, Presented by Robert Solomon, PhD, Guest Scholor, The
Brookings Institute, November 5, 2001 http://www.interdependence.org/media/Solomon2.htm
Soros: Share crisis looms, BBC News, January 22, 1999 http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/business/the_economy/newsid_260000/260473.stm
The New Economy Recession: Economic Scorecard 2001, by Dean
Baker, December 20, 2001 http://www.cepr.net/new_economy_recession.htm
Weak loonie not our fault: Martin. Liberals blame 'perception
problem' in market as dollar languishes near US62¢: Government
losing its tolerance for weak currency. Jacqueline Thorpe, National
Post January 22, 2002 http://www.nationalpost.com/home/story.html?f=/stories/20020122/1202608.html |