We have been pointing out in our writing that in the last decade we
experienced the creation of big bubbles in the stock market as the
stock price over earnings ratio increased two fold from a
traditional ratio of 15 to more than 30. Enron, Global Crossing,
Tyco, and many other companies were all able to manipulate further
increases of their stock prices while their senior executives were
able to sell off their stocks and make millions and millions of
dollars in the process. Eventually, the scheme to ever increase the
stock price would collapse and so did these companies.
Kenneth Lay, former Enron's CEO, made $135-million in salary and
exercising stock options in 2000; Gary Winnick, founder of Global
Crossing, made $633 million by selling his company's stock in the
two years prior to the company's collapse; and Dennis Kozlowski,
Tyco's chief executive, netted more than $170 million by selling
shares five months before it was subjected to a Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) inquiry in December 1999.
There is no doubt that our financial and economic systems are
corrupt as these companies have caused pains to their employees,
procured money to politicians, avoided paying taxes by setting
offshore companies, concerted with their law and accounting firms to
defraud shareholders and employees at large.
Today, we have business gurus who are using statistical financial
analysis to reassure the public that everything is all right with
our financial system. We must understand that statistical analysis
is being used as a scientific tool by our elitist oligarchy to
support the status quo, that is the 'on the other hand economics' of
the Free Market.
So, we have gurus Robert Arnott and Clifford Asness who have
conducted a 'statistically sound' study concluding that "investors
should pay more attention to dividends" rather than to
increases of the stock price. Clifford Asness has stated that
"It seems dividends are a disciplining process. When the market
doesn't pay a lot of dividends... Management pursues some
less-than-optimal projects."
This on other hand truth to look for dividends, as opposed to the
on other hand truth to look for increases in the stock prices, is
also supported by many Canadian gurus. Morgan McCague, a senior
vice-president at the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board, is
predicting that "dividends will become much more popular";
and James Paulsen, chief investment officer at Wells Capital
Management, says that corporate management will face "increasing
pressure" to drive dividend payout ratios higher.
So the saga of the on the other hand economics of the Free Market
continues.
References
The enemy within USA Inc. America has been rocked by corporate
scandals, and there are more to come, says Jamie Doward., Sunday
February 3, 2002, The Observer http://www.observer.co.uk/Print/0,3858,4348564,00.html
Study links profit to dividends, by Dave Ebner, February 25,
2002, The Globe and Mail
Does dividend policy foretell earnings growth? Robert D. Arnott,
First Quadrant Corp.; Clifford S. Asness, Aqr Capital Management,
December 2001 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=295974 |