Economic productivity as per capita GDP seems to be a bit
misunderstood by our economists. Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the
Federal Reserve Board and the most powerful man in the business,
finance and stock market, is confused about our economic
productivity. And if he is confused, then all of his
followers-bankers, stock speculators, and the corporate world-are
all confused as well. Yes, we live in a state of confusion and we
don't know whom to believe anymore, and the resulting conclusion is
the omnipresent vision to believe in the Almighty Dollar(1)!The
Almighty Dollar is replacing our thinking and our hearts, and we are
all brainwashed to look for money, everywhere and at any price. I
have been very conscious of this destructive philosophy that "Money
Talks" and when my son James decided to go back to school in 1995
and take business courses through Athabasca University, I mentioned
to him how confusing life can be. And, after reading the preface of
his accounting textbook, I showed him an excerpt from this book
which stated that ethics is just like navigating an ocean, you
choose your own course, that is as to say that ethics is a personal
affair, be good, be bad, or be ugly. And now, I ask myself how we
can have a vision of where we are going if we follow the money
vision within any ethics, be good, be bad or be ugly. It is absurd
to have such a vision, to believe to any professor you listen or to
believe to any textbook you read. Therefore, I gave James the book
"The Fifth Discipline(2)" and I told him that this was going to be
his business Bible. And James read this book, and we have been happy
ever since!
As I was saying, even Alan Greespan is confused about the
notion of economic productivity, and last July, while speaking at
the national meeting of American Governors, he stated that
"the major contribution of advances in information
technology and their incorporation into the capital stock has
been to reduce the number of worker hours required to produce
the nation's output, our proxy for productivity growth(3)"
This statement doesn't reflect the experience of the American
economy. And American Paul Strassmann, a consultant to some
of the largest corporations on the planet(4), has pointed out the
following:
"Contrary to expectations of the productivity proponents,
the revenue per staff dollar has not increased. It has declined
for a period of steady productivity decline from 1989 through
1996. The recent reversals in this productivity trends reflect
mergers and consolidations, a strengthening of the dollar
currency, and the highest real interest income due to lower
inflationary expectations. That has little to do with
computerization and much with reorganization and a cyclically
favorable state of the economy. The fact is that in 1989 one
dollars' worth of staff expense supported $7.50 dollars worth of
revenue, whereas seven years later - after a period of sustained
computerization - the same dollar supports only about $5.30 of
revenue(5)"
Whom to believe? Greenspan or Strassmann? As I am concerned, I
believe in my own and shared common sense, and that in our knowledge
economy, no matter how sophisticated this economy may be, there will
always be low skilled jobs such as cashiers, janitors, retail
salespersons, waiters, and waitresses(6). Therefore, productivity,
as per capita GDP, is not a relevant indicator for our social and
economic growth anymore and this observation is confirmation that we
must develop new indicators to measure the performance of our
knowledge economy.
Notes/References
Quote by Donella Meadows "challenging a paradigm is not a
part-time job. It is not sufficient to make your point once and then
blame the world for not getting it. The world has a vested interest
in, a commitment to, not getting it. The point has to be made
patiently and repeatedly, day after day after day" ftp://sysdyn.mit.edu/ftp/sdep/Roadmaps/RM1/D-4143-1.pdf
The Global Citizen, http://www.tidepool.org/gc/
List of relevant social articles http://www.ftlcomm.com/ensign
1. Money Talks, Mandatory Voting and our Democracy, by Mario
deSantis, December 23, 2000 http://www.ftlcomm.com/ensign/desantisArticles/2000_200/desantis293/moneytalks.html
2. The Fifth Discipline: The Art & Practice of The Learning
Organization, by Peter M. Senge, Currency Doubleday. Books by Peter
M. Senge: http://www.pfdf.org/leaderbooks/senge
3. Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan, Structural Change In The
New Economy, before the National Governors' Association, 92nd Annual
Meeting, State College, Pennsylvania, July 11, 2000 http://www.edu-cyberpg.com/Technology/allengreenspan.html
4. US consultant recommends measurement of 'knowledge capital'
before outsourcing, by Nick Gentle, 10 November, 1999 http://www.strassmann.com/pubs/canberra
5. Facts and Fantasies about Productivity. Excerpted from
Information Productivity, by Paul A. Strassmann http://www.strassmann.com/pubs/fnf/factnfantasy.shtml
6. Productivity is the wrong thing to measure, by Mario deSantis,
December 25, 2000
You can read about the background of Alan Greenspan at the web
site for the Federal Reserve http://www.federalreserve.gov/bios/Greenspan.htm
A simple and straightforward discussion of the issue of knowledge
management in the form of an interview with Paul Strassmann http://www.strassmann.com/pubs/kmmag-0499.html
Paul Strassmann's home page http://www.strassmann.com/index.shtml |