"Here at home, my economic advisors, economic team presented a
very upbeat assessment about our economy. It's strong, and it's
growing stronger. Inflation is low. Interest rates are low.
Manufacturing activity is up. The job base is growing… We need to
make sure that we have legal reform… we need to make sure the tax
cuts are permanent."--President George Bush
In my last article on the anniversary of Bush war in Iraq I
outlined the incompetence of the Bush administration in
understanding terrorism and terrorists. The incompetence of Bush’s
foreign policies has been covered up with the ideology of "you are
with us or against us." At the same time, the consistent
incompetence of Bush’s economic policies has been covered up with
the ideology of "permanent tax cuts."
Bush’s ideologies can be summarized with what we commonly
understand as the bullish behaviour of "my way or the highway." The
bullish behaviour of the Bushes of this world is the culprit of our
own social problem, of war, poverty, hunger, violence and terrorism.
This bullish behaviour is intrinsic in the ideology of the Free
Market, that is, freedom for the Bushes, but enslavement for common
people at large. As Bush is incompetent in understanding terrorism,
so he is incompetent in understanding our social and economic
growth.
I express below some current concerns of Bush’s America in the
hope, again, that our own thinking and understanding will help break
down the myth of the insane ideology of "permanent tax cuts."
- "Link Between Taxation, Unemployment Is Absent."
Jonathan Weisman[1]
- "Tax Cuts Are The Single Largest Way Policymakers Have
Increased." Center on Budget and Policy Priorities[2]
- "Tax cuts don’t need to be paid for [with offsets] — they
pay for themselves." House Budget Committee Chairman Jim
Nussle[3]
- "As US cuts taxes, states hike them." Abraham
McLaughlin[4]
- "Republican Still Think They Can Cut Taxes & Reduce
Deficits." Alan Fram[5]
- "The total amount owed – by consumers, businesses,
governments and financial institutions – totaled $34.4 trillion
at the end of 2003, according to the Federal Reserve. The
economy produced $11.3 trillion of output. That makes the
nation's debt triple its gross domestic product. In 1933, debt
was about 2 1/2 times GDP…This debt bubble comes with the lowest
interest rates in four decades." Danielle DiMartino[6]
- "With interest rates so low, money has been rushing into
assets like shares of stock and real estate. Over the past 12
months, the stock market has experienced its biggest gain in 50
years, if you adjust share prices for inflation. And just last
quarter, home prices rose at the fastest pace in a quarter
century. The low interest rates are also feeding what appears to
be a consumer bubble. Household debt increased last year at its
quickest rate in two decades, as consumers borrowed against
these soaring values of their homes and stock portfolios. If all
these bubbles keep expanding, and then burst, the sound will be
heard around the world." Robert B. Reich[7]
- "Housing prices have accelerated at an unprecedented rate
since 1995 -- more than 35 percentage points nationwide above
the overall rate of inflation… The $3 trillion question (that's
an estimate of housing wealth that could disappear): will it
happen before the election? Not if Alan Greenspan can postpone
it." Mark Weisbrot[8]
- "Employment growth is anemic in the wake of a 2001
recession that zapped 2.3 million jobs. Manufacturers have cut
employment for 43 consecutive… Homeowners can get 30-year
mortgages at less than 6 per cent and car loans at near zero.
That sent mortgage debt soaring to $6.8-trillion last year from
$4.9-trillion just two years earlier" Barrie McKenna[9]
- "The effect of the rising oil price on America could be
even more disturbing." Buttonwood [10]
- "Tax cuts and debt have fueled consumption over the last
two years, but with savings rates near record lows, and further
tax cuts unlikely, it is not clear that consumers will be able
to sustain spending growth unless the wage and job growth pick
up very soon." Dean Baker [11]
References
The author, Mario deSantis, doesn’t subscribe to the use of
econometric models in the area of broader economic public policies
White House Remarks by the President After Meeting with the
Cabinet March 23, 2004 http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2004/03/20040323-5.html
deSantis, Mario One year after Bush’s war in Iraq: The building
of the ominous ideology "you're with us or against us" March 23,
2004 Ensign
1. Weisman, Jonathan Link Between Taxation, Unemployment Is
Absent (PDF) March
15, 2004 Washington Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58658-2004Mar14.html
2. Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Tax Cuts Are The
Single Largest Way Policymakers Have Increased Deficits Revised
February 1, 2004 http://www.cbpp.org/1-28-04bud.htm
3. Center on Budget and Policy Priorities TOO GOOD TO BE
TRUE: "Tax cuts don’t need to be paid for [with offsets] — they pay
for themselves." Revised March 22, 2004 http://www.cbpp.org/3-19-04tax.htm
4. McLaughlin, Abraham As US cuts taxes, states hike them:
New York's $2 billion-plus tax hike is just the latest of several
overhauls that could recast the social safety net (PDF)
May 28, 2003 The Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/2003/0528/p01s02-usec.html
5. Fram, Alan Republican Still Think They Can Cut Taxes &
Reduce Deficits (PDF)
March 18, 2004 Associated Press, http://www.capitolhillblue.com/artman/publish/article_4250.shtml
6. DiMartino, Danielle U.S. Debt Burden Is Higher Now than
During Depression, Study Says (PDF)
March 15, 2004 The Dallas Morning News, http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/business/national/8192892.htm
7. Reich, Robert B.In The Interest Of Interest March 17, 2004
Marketplace®, http://tompaine.com/feature2.cfm/ID/10110
8. Weisbrot, Mark Is the Fed Playing Election-Year Politics?
March 22, 2004 Knight-Ridder/Tribune Media Services, http://www.truthout.org/docs_04/032404I.shtml
9. McKenna, Barrie Low rates fuel fears in U.S.: Analysts
warn of asset bubble from hot housing market (PDF)
March 20, 2004 The Globe and Mail, http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/ArticleNews/TPStory/LAC/20040320/RFED20/TPBusiness/TopStories
10. Buttonwood Crude arguments: Markets should worry about the
surging oil price (PDF)
March 23, 2004 The Economist Global Agenda, http://www.economist.com/agenda/displayStory.cfm?story_id=2534075
11. Baker, Dean Profits Shares Hit Record High In 2003: THE
TAX SHARE OF CORPORATE PROFITS IS NEAR ITS POST-WAR LOW (PDF)
March 25, 2004 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/baker-data-commentary/message/163 |