I have just finished the first assignment of a course in System
Dynamics and I am going to provide now some related educative
explanations. In a few words, System Dynamics is the discipline
which helps us understand our world as we develop models of our
perceived realities.These models use the capabilities of
computers so that we can study their behaviour by contracting time
and space. Associated to the discipline of System Dynamics is the
understanding of Systems Thinking, that is the ability to understand
that we are all parts of a given system, that our actions have
effects throughout the system and that such effects can be distant
in time and space.
At this point, I sadly think about our conventional search for
rich and possible charismatic leaders who are straight trouble
shooters. One such rich leader is President Bush who wants to attack
Iraq because it is supposedly hiding its nuclear capabilities;
however, this president has no willingness to attack North Korea and
Iran when these latter countries have explicitly advertised their
nuclear programs. So we must be aware of the shortcomings of our
straight shooters as these leaders are only good to hide their
ignorance behind their power and take straight shots against us
common people.
Systems Thinking and System Dynamics are very powerful conceptual
tools to help us uncover the straight shooters of this world and
this is why I am going to provide some understanding of systems as
developed in my first assignment of my course in System Dynamics.
WHAT IS A SYSTEM AND EXAMPLES OF SYSTEMS
A system is a collection of parts which interact with each other
to function as a whole. Therefore, systems have a purpose as a whole
and the whole is not the pure sum of the parts of the system. From
systems we have also the concept of synergy, that is the mutual
interaction of the parts is more worth than the sum of the
individual parts. Another definition of system is the one provided
by Gene Bellinger "A system is an entity that maintains its
existence through the mutual interaction of its parts." http://www.systems-thinking.org/systhink/systhink.htm
An example of systems can be the educational delivery of a
university course, where the components would be the instructor, the
students, the resource facilities. Another example of a system would
be the accounting/bookkeeping functions of a small business. In this
case we would have the accounting employees who would be using their
separate accounting responsibilities, the computer information
system, clients, suppliers. Still another example of a system would
be my saving account with the Nipawin Credit Union in Saskatchewan.
The elements of this system would include the interest rate,
deposits and withdrawals.
EXAMPLE OF A SYSTEM THAT AIMS TOWARD A GOAL
An example of a system that aims toward a goal is the launching
of a guided missile against a moving target just like the one
launched by a CIA drone in Yemen to hit a car whose passengers were
alleged Al Queda terrorists. [re: U.S. missile strike kills al Qaeda
chief: CIA drone launched missile, CNN http://www.cnn.com/2002/WORLD/meast/11/05/yemen.blast/]
EXAMPLES OF SYSTEMS THAT ERODE THEIR GOALS
Goal is economic growth and lower taxes: Recent American
tax cuts for the rich, at a time of governmental deficit, will
translate with higher taxes in the future. I hope that higher taxes
will affect corporations and the rich as the financial wealth of the
top one percent of households now exceeds the combined wealth of the
bottom 95 percent. [re: Shared Capitalism Institute, http://www.sharedcapitalism.org/scfacts.html
]
Goal is justice: For every one (American) criminal
conviction that comes after a trial, 19 other cases are settled by
plea bargain. When, as part of a plea bargain, innocent people
confess to a crime they did not commit, that isn't a breakdown of
the system. It is the (American) system working exactly as it is
supposed to. [re: Why Innocent People Confess, by Michael Kinsley
http://slate.msn.com/default.aspx?id=2075319 ] With the plea
bargaining system, the administration of justice becomes the
administration of lower jail times for possible innocent victims in
exchange of possible manufactured confessions.
Goal is fair economic international trade: The American
policy of ever increasing chronic trade deficits is becoming
unsustainable and not compatible with the policy of maintaining a
strong dollar. [re: The Strong Dollar and the U.S. Trade Deficit. (pdf)
Statement by Dean Baker, http://commerce.senate.gov/hearings/0621bak.PDF
]
EXAMPLE OF BALANCING SYSTEMS WITH DELAY
Any system really has a stabilizing behaviour, after all, if
systems are composed of interacting parts functioning as a whole,
then it is a logical consequence to have balancing systems.
Therefore, most systems have a balanced behaviour. Also, such
systems include corrective actions to achieve a dynamic balance or
equilibrium as they function for an established purpose or goal. The
corrective actions are sometime exercised only after some delays and
therefore the behavior of the system may be affected by oscillations
as the system try to achieve its goal.
One example of a balancing system with delay is the cyclical
performance of an economic system. This economic cycle may be due to
multiple and overlapping causes along with the failure to take timed
appropriate corrective actions do to the intrinsic delays of the
system. For instance, the marginal controlling of the economy by
playing with the interest rate set by the United States Federal
Reserve Board (central bank) would only have an economic effect
after some time and maybe few months. A root cause affecting an
economic cycle could be attributed to the capacity to overproduce,
another root cause could be the lack of demand for consumer goods,
and still another root cause could be too much inventory held by
businesses.
EXAMPLE OF SYSTEMS THAT SHOWS ADDICTION TO EXTERNAL HELP
(SHIFTING THE BURDEN)
The Government of Saskatchewan has the understanding that it
lacks sophisticated IT (IT - information technology) solutions and
that such solutions cannot be provided by local provincial IT
businesses. As a consequence, this government has the propensity to
contract out IT solutions from big corporations such as SAIC, SAP
and now EDS. This situation will provide the government with
supposed ready sophisticated solutions, but in the long run the
local provincial IT businesses would be undermined.
A corrective action for the government would be to enhance the
technical capabilities of the local provincial and governmental IT
capabilities, and reduce the outsourcing of IT solutions. [Re: This
is not the time for backroom deal, Canadian Taxpayers Federation,
October 29, 2002 http://www.taxpayer.com/ltts/sk/October29-02.htm ]
EXAMPLES OF FIXES THAT FAIL
Reference: directly from The Ouroboros Effect: The Revenge
Effects of Unintended Consequences. [A compilation by David X.
Swenson Ph.D. http://faculty.css.edu/dswenson/web/REVENGE.HTM ]
In England, livestock that contracted "mad cow " disease during
the mid-1990s led many farmers to sell their livestock before it
demonstrated symptoms. In the cattle food production business,
cattle parts are often ground up, dried, and added to livestock feed
for protein. Unfortunately, the disease is passed on in the cattle
protein and the disease was spread widely to previously uninfected
cattle.
Organizations conscientiously cut costs where ever
possible--including toilet paper. Thick, soft and more expensive
toilet paper is often replaced with paper of much lower quality.
Paradoxically, many users find the cheap paper unreliable and
therefore use twice as much. The high volume use not only
counteracts the intended savings, but the mass can clog drains,
users are annoyed, and rolls must be changed more often.
SYSTEMS HAVE LIMITS
Our world cannot sustain itself with our own social and economic
system based on continuous growth of the Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) and on the growth of the so-called productivity gains through
new technologies. The GDP and related productivity gains are
artificial numbers which don't tell the story of our humanity and
our world. We have limits to growth and such limits are defined by
the natural finite limits of our resources and the consequences of
an economic driven world on our population, industrial capital, food
production and pollution. [Re: Beyond The Limits To Growth. A new
update to The Limits to Growth reveals that we are closer to
"overshoot and collapse" - yet sustainability is still an achievable
goal by Donella H. Meadows, Dennis L. Meadows, and Jørgen http://www.context.org/ICLIB/IC32/Meadows.htm
]
Reference on online courses on System Dynamics:
García, Juan Martín, Director del Area de Dinámica de Sistemas de
la Cátedra UNESCO de Desarrollo Sostenible de la UPC Course on
System Dynamics, http://www.ct.upc.es/catedraunesco/ads/adse.htm |